Picks

Premier League

England · 2026-27 · 89/380 games played · hit rate this season 46% (39 games)

Saturday 31 October1 · X · 2 Score

Manchester United01 30%X 27%2 43%1-2✕FT

Leeds United01 45%X 28%2 27%1-0✓FT

Nottingham Forest01 44%X 28%2 28%1-0✓FT

Sunderland11 28%X 28%2 44%0-1✕FT

Ipswich Town21 48%X 27%2 25%1-0✕FT

Manchester City0

Brighton11 56%X 24%2 20%2-1✕FT

Crystal Palace01 41%X 28%2 31%1-0✓FT

Fulham11 44%X 28%2 28%1-0✕

Sunday 1 November1 · X · 2 Score

Arsenal11 27%X 28%2 45%0-1✓

Monday 2 November1 · X · 2 Score

Newcastle United

Everton1 42%X 28%2 30%1-0

Matchday predictions page →

Expected final table from 5,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Now	Projected	Run-in	Title	Top 4	Relegation
1	Arsenal	24	84	-10	69%	100%	0%
2	Manchester City	21	78	-5	26%	98%	0%
3	Brighton	19	71	-13	5%	85%	0%
4▲1	Liverpool	15	64	-15	1%	46%	0%
5▲2	Bournemouth	12	61	-9	<1%	28%	0%
6▼2	Chelsea	16	59	-9	<1%	21%	<1%
7▼1	Brentford	14	55	+0	0%	9%	<1%
8▲1	Aston Villa	12	53	-12	0%	5%	1%
9▲8	Manchester United	7	51	+2	0%	2%	2%
10▲1	Leeds United	11	50	-3	0%	2%	3%
11▼3	Tottenham	12	50	+9	0%	2%	3%
12	Newcastle United	11	49	+7	0%	1%	4%
13▲1	Everton	10	48	+4	0%	1%	5%
14▲5	Nottingham Forest	6	46	+6	0%	<1%	9%
15	Fulham	9	45	+15	0%	1%	9%
16▲4	Sunderland	5	38	-3	0%	0%	46%
17▼7	Hull City	11	38	+12	0%	0%	45%
18	Crystal Palace	7	37	+8	0%	0%	50%
19▼3	Coventry City	9	36	+1	0%	0%	59%
20▼7	Ipswich Town	11	35	+14	0%	0%	65%

Riding their luck

Arsenal+6.5 pts

Brighton+4.4 pts

Manchester City+4.0 pts

Unlucky so far

Nottingham Forest-9.6 pts

Sunderland-6.9 pts

Expected goals (xG) table

#	Team	P	Goals	xG	xGD	Pts	xPts	Diff
1	Arsenal	9	14:5	14.9:7.2	+7.7	24	17.5	+6.5
2	Manchester City	9	20:10	18.6:11.4	+7.2	21	17.0	+4.0
3	Bournemouth	9	14:13	15.7:10.1	+5.6	12	15.2	-3.2
4	Nottingham Forest	9	6:12	14.7:9.3	+5.4	6	15.6	-9.6
5	Brighton	9	24:7	17.2:13.0	+4.2	19	14.6	+4.4
6	Liverpool	9	11:9	13.2:10.6	+2.6	15	14.0	+1.0
7	Tottenham	9	10:10	11.6:10.1	+1.6	12	13.6	-1.6
8	Fulham	9	9:11	13.7:12.2	+1.5	9	13.3	-4.3
9	Brentford	9	16:9	13.9:12.7	+1.3	14	12.2	+1.8
10	Chelsea	9	19:15	12.8:12.6	+0.2	16	12.3	+3.7
11	Leeds United	9	9:8	11.1:11.7	-0.6	11	11.9	-0.9
12	Manchester United	9	10:15	13.8:14.9	-1.1	7	11.2	-4.2
13	Everton	8	8:9	10.1:11.7	-1.6	10	9.9	+0.1
14	Sunderland	9	7:17	13.2:15.7	-2.5	5	11.9	-6.9
15	Hull City	9	11:10	9.1:13.2	-4.1	11	9.4	+1.6
16	Aston Villa	9	10:13	10.8:15.1	-4.3	12	10.4	+1.6
17	Newcastle United	8	12:14	9.1:13.5	-4.4	11	8.2	+2.8
18	Ipswich Town	9	14:18	12.0:17.2	-5.2	11	10.5	+0.5
19	Coventry City	9	9:16	8.3:13.7	-5.4	9	8.9	+0.1
20	Crystal Palace	9	9:21	11.2:19.2	-8.0	7	8.5	-1.5