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Premier League · Matchday 9Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Nottingham Forest19th place
BRE 44%X 28%NFO 28%

What does the market say?

BrentfordDrawNottingham ForestRinvalo44%28%28%
Market46%26%28%

✓ Agree · both back Brentford

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Brentford 1.8 points per game, Nottingham Forest 1.0.
  • If Brentford score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X28%3.54228%3.61
Double chance
1X72%1.38X256%1.791272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Nottingham Forest2-0 probability 8.1% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Nottingham Forest31 October 20262-0
Brentford – Nottingham Forest25 January 20260-2
Nottingham Forest – Brentford17 August 20253-1
Nottingham Forest – Brentford1 May 20250-2
Brentford – Nottingham Forest21 December 20240-2
Brentford – Nottingham Forest20 January 20243-2