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Premier League · Matchday 9Saturday 31 October · 20:00 · Villa Park
Aston Villa9th place
Full time1-1Prediction wrong
Fulham15th place
AVL 44%X 28%FUL 28%

What does the market say?

Aston VillaDrawFulhamRinvalo44%28%28%
Market49%25%26%

✓ Agree · both back Aston Villa

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Aston Villa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.29X28%3.56228%3.54
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.771272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Aston Villa · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 13.2% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Aston Villa – Fulham31 October 20261-1
Fulham – Aston Villa25 April 20261-0
Aston Villa – Fulham28 September 20253-1
Aston Villa – Fulham3 May 20251-0
Fulham – Aston Villa19 October 20241-3
Fulham – Aston Villa17 February 20241-2