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Premier League · Matchday 9Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth7th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Leeds United11th place
BOU 45%X 28%LEE 27%

What does the market say?

BournemouthDrawLeeds UnitedRinvalo45%28%27%
Market44%28%28%

✓ Agree · both back Bournemouth

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.20X28%3.57227%3.76
Double chance
1X73%1.36X255%1.831272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Leeds United2-0 probability 8.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Bournemouth – Leeds United31 October 20262-0
Bournemouth – Leeds United22 April 20262-2
Leeds United – Bournemouth27 September 20252-2
Bournemouth – Leeds United30 April 20234-1
Leeds United – Bournemouth5 November 20224-3