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Premier League · Matchday 9Sunday 1 November · 16:30 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Full time0-1Exact score
Arsenal1st place
LIV 27%X 28%ARS 45%

What does the market say?

LiverpoolDrawArsenalRinvalo27%28%45%
Market32%28%40%

✓ Agree · both back Arsenal

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 92 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 1.0, Liverpool 0.1.
  • Arsenal take 2.0 points per game away.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Arsenal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.72X28%3.58245%2.22
Double chance
1X55%1.82X273%1.371272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Arsenal0-1 probability 10.5% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Liverpool – Arsenal1 November 20260-1
Arsenal – Liverpool8 January 20260-0
Liverpool – Arsenal31 August 20251-0
Liverpool – Arsenal11 May 20252-2
Arsenal – Liverpool27 October 20242-2
Arsenal – Liverpool4 February 20243-1