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Premier League · Matchday 9Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Ipswich Town13th place
HUL 48%X 27%IPS 25%

What does the market say?

Hull CityDrawIpswich TownRinvalo48%27%25%
Market36%28%36%

✓ Agree · both back Hull City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Hull City lead by 107 rating points.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Hull City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X27%3.69225%4.00
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.921273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Ipswich Town2-2 probability 5.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Hull City – Ipswich Town31 October 20262-2
Ipswich Town – Hull City3 March 20261-0
Hull City – Ipswich Town25 November 20250-2
Hull City – Ipswich Town27 April 20243-3
Ipswich Town – Hull City3 October 20233-0