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Premier League · Matchday 9Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Full time3-1Prediction wrong
Sunderland20th place
COV 28%X 28%SUN 44%

What does the market say?

Coventry CityDrawSunderlandRinvalo28%28%44%
Market31%28%41%

✓ Agree · both back Sunderland

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Sunderland lead by 64 rating points.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.54X28%3.57244%2.29
Double chance
1X56%1.78X272%1.391272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.542%2.41Under 2.559%1.71BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Sunderland3-1 probability 2.2% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Sunderland31 October 20263-1
Coventry City – Sunderland15 March 20253-0
Sunderland – Coventry City9 November 20242-2
Sunderland – Coventry City23 December 20230-3
Coventry City – Sunderland26 August 20230-0
Coventry City – Sunderland25 February 20232-1