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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 15:30 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
ALN 25%X 26%TS 49%

What's at stake

AlanyasporRelegation5%11%14%
TrabzonsporTop 487%79%80%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 178 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Alanyaspor 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Alanyaspor -0.5.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.00X26%3.78249%2.06
Double chance
1X51%1.94X275%1.331274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor11 April 20261-1
Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor8 November 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor27 April 20254-3
Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor30 November 20242-1
Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor4 March 20243-1
Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor23 October 20231-0