TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Süper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday 7 November · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Konyaspor14th place
SAM 44%X 28%KON 28%

What's at stake

SamsunsporRelegation62%74%80%
KonyasporRelegation25%37%45%

Prediction

  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X28%3.56228%3.56
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.781272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.15Under 2.554%1.87BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Konyaspor1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Konyaspor5 April 20262-2
Konyaspor – Samsunspor2 November 20251-3
Konyaspor – Samsunspor16 February 20250-1
Samsunspor – Konyaspor14 September 20240-1
Konyaspor – Samsunspor12 May 20243-0
Samsunspor – Konyaspor21 December 20231-1