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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday 7 November · 16:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Amed SK2nd place
GS 62%X 22%AMD 16%

What's at stake

GalatasarayTitle81%73%63%
Amed SKTop 474%66%60%

What does the market say?

GalatasarayDrawAmed SKRinvalo62%22%16%
Market66%20%14%

✓ Agree · both back Galatasaray

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 176 rating points.
  • Galatasaray take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • The market also backs the home side (66%).
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.2
Over 2.571%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.62X22%4.51216%6.27
Double chance
1X84%1.19X238%2.621278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.571%1.42Market 65%Under 2.529%3.39Market 35%BTTS yes65%1.54Market 58%BTTS no35%2.86Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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3
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5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Amed SK2-1 probability 9.4%

Form

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