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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday 7 November · 16:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Başakşehir10th place
GÖZ 49%X 26%İBFK 25%

What's at stake

GöztepeTop 413%8%6%
BaşakşehirTop 412%6%4%

Prediction

  • If Göztepe score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.02X26%3.88225%4.03
Double chance
1X75%1.33X251%1.981274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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Head to head

Başakşehir – Göztepe7 March 20262-1
Göztepe – Başakşehir5 October 20251-0
Göztepe – Başakşehir28 April 20254-1
Başakşehir – Göztepe30 November 20244-1
Başakşehir – Göztepe22 January 20221-2
Göztepe – Başakşehir12 September 20212-1