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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 13:00 · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu
Çorum FK7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Fenerbahçe6th place
ÇOR 25%X 25%FB 50%

What's at stake

Çorum FKRelegation1%2%5%
FenerbahçeTop 474%63%56%

What does the market say?

Çorum FKDrawFenerbahçeRinvalo25%25%50%
Market23%24%53%

✓ Agree · both back Fenerbahçe

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 159 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Çorum FK -0.1.
  • The market also backs the away side (53%).
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.5 – 2.2
Over 2.572%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.04X25%4.03250%1.98
Double chance
1X50%2.02X275%1.331275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.572%1.40Under 2.528%3.52BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Çorum FK · Columns: Fenerbahçe1-2 probability 8.9%

Form

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