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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday 7 November · 10:30 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Eyüpspor18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
EYP 26%X 30%KOC 43%

What's at stake

KocaelisporRelegation1%3%5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kocaelispor lead by 131 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Kocaelispor 1.4 points per game, Eyüpspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kocaelispor -0.1, Eyüpspor -1.5.
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.2
Over 2.534%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.79X30%3.31243%2.30
Double chance
1X57%1.77X274%1.361270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.534%2.94Under 2.566%1.51BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Eyüpspor · Columns: Kocaelispor0-1 probability 14.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor9 March 20260-1
Kocaelispor – Eyüpspor4 October 20251-0