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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 10:30 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
RİZ 55%X 26%ERZ 19%

What's at stake

RizesporRelegation9%13%20%
ErzurumsporRelegation27%39%44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Rizespor 0.1, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.80X26%3.87219%5.33
Double chance
1X81%1.23X245%2.241274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Rizespor · Columns: Erzurumspor1-0 probability 12.4%

Form

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