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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Friday 6 November · 17:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
GFK 35%X 29%KAS 36%

What's at stake

Gaziantep FKRelegation60%68%74%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa lead by 108 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.6 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kasımpaşa 0.0, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.82X29%3.46236%2.80
Double chance
1X64%1.55X265%1.551271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Kasımpaşa1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa9 February 20262-1
Kasımpaşa – Gaziantep FK30 August 20252-3
Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa24 May 20252-2
Kasımpaşa – Gaziantep FK5 January 20252-2
Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa21 April 20242-0
Kasımpaşa – Gaziantep FK3 December 20234-2