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Süper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday 8 November · 18:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gençlerbirliği16th place
BJK 75%X 17%GB 8%

What's at stake

BeşiktaşTop 472%62%56%
GençlerbirliğiRelegation43%55%60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 187 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Gençlerbirliği -0.9.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.2.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.33X17%6.0628%12.39
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%4.071283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes41%2.45BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Gençlerbirliği2-0 probability 14.7%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Beşiktaş15 March 20260-2
Beşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği18 October 20251-2