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Süper Lig · Matchday 8Saturday 17 October · 14:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Full time1-0Prediction correct
Konyaspor14th place
AMD 59%X 23%KON 18%

What does the market say?

Amed SKDrawKonyasporRinvalo59%23%18%
Market49%27%24%

✓ Agree · both back Amed SK

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 0.9, Konyaspor -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.0 points per game, Konyaspor 0.8.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.564%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X23%4.36218%5.55
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.441277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Konyaspor1-0 probability 7.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Amed SK – Konyaspor17 October 20261-0