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Süper Lig · Matchday 8Saturday 17 October · 11:30 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Eyüpspor18th place
ERZ 40%X 30%EYP 29%

What does the market say?

ErzurumsporDrawEyüpsporRinvalo40%30%29%
Market58%25%17%

✓ Agree · both back Erzurumspor

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Erzurumspor take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.537%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Erzurumspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.47X30%3.29229%3.43
Double chance
1X71%1.41X260%1.681270%1.44
Goals
Over 2.537%2.73Under 2.563%1.58BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Eyüpspor2-0 probability 8.2% · final score

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Erzurumspor – Eyüpspor17 October 20262-0