TR
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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 8Sunday 18 October · 11:30 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Full time4-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Samsunspor17th place
KAS 41%X 30%SAM 29%

What does the market say?

KasımpaşaDrawSamsunsporRinvalo41%30%29%
Market38%28%35%

✓ Agree · both back Kasımpaşa

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.8 points per game, Samsunspor 0.6.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.43X30%3.38229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X259%1.701270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.545%2.22Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Samsunspor4-1 probability 1.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor18 October 20264-1
Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor30 January 20260-1
Samsunspor – Kasımpaşa17 September 20250-0
Samsunspor – Kasımpaşa29 March 20250-2
Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor26 October 20241-4
Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor27 April 20241-0