TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 8Sunday 18 October · 17:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Gaziantep FK16th place
İBFK 61%X 23%GFK 16%

What does the market say?

BaşakşehirDrawGaziantep FKRinvalo61%23%16%
Market56%23%21%

✓ Agree · both back Başakşehir

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 96 rating points.
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.559%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.40216%6.10
Double chance
1X84%1.20X239%2.561277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes55%1.80BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Gaziantep FK2-1 probability 10.0% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK18 October 20262-1
Gaziantep FK – Başakşehir16 May 20261-2
Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK22 December 20255-1
Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK20 April 20252-1
Gaziantep FK – Başakşehir23 November 20243-0
Gaziantep FK – Başakşehir24 February 20240-2