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Süper Lig · Matchday 8Sunday 18 October · 14:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Göztepe9th place
KOC 36%X 31%GÖZ 33%

What does the market say?

KocaelisporDrawGöztepeRinvalo36%31%33%
Market33%27%40%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Kocaelispor 36%, market Göztepe 40%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Kocaelispor 2.4 points per game, Göztepe 0.4.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
Over 2.535%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kocaelispor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X31%3.23233%3.02
Double chance
1X67%1.49X264%1.561269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.535%2.83Under 2.565%1.55BTTS yes43%2.30BTTS no57%1.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Göztepe1-2 probability 6.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Kocaelispor – Göztepe18 October 20261-2
Kocaelispor – Göztepe18 April 20261-1
Göztepe – Kocaelispor23 November 20250-0