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Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%
Süper Lig · Matchday 8Saturday 17 October · 14:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği16th place
Full time0-1Prediction correct
Galatasaray1st place
GB 16%X 21%GS 63%

What does the market say?

GençlerbirliğiDrawGalatasarayRinvalo16%21%63%
Market14%19%68%

✓ Agree · both back Galatasaray

Prediction

Predicted: 0-2
Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 227 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.1, Gençlerbirliği -0.4.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.1
Over 2.559%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.26X21%4.68263%1.60
Double chance
1X37%2.68X284%1.191279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Galatasaray0-1 probability 9.2% · final score

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Galatasaray17 October 20260-1
Gençlerbirliği – Galatasaray18 April 20261-2
Galatasaray – Gençlerbirliği22 November 20253-2