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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 8Monday 19 October · 18:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Beşiktaş4th place
TS 40%X 28%BJK 32%

What does the market say?

TrabzonsporDrawBeşiktaşRinvalo40%28%32%
Market33%25%42%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Trabzonspor 40%, market Beşiktaş 42%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Trabzonspor take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • Derby match.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.51X28%3.59232%3.10
Double chance
1X68%1.48X260%1.661272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Beşiktaş2-0 probability 6.7% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş19 October 20262-0
Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor9 May 20261-2
Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş14 December 20253-3
Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor15 February 20252-1
Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş15 September 20241-1
Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor4 February 20242-0