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Bundesliga · Matchday 16Tuesday 12 January · 19:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
M'gladbach18th place
FCA 54%X 24%BMG 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Augsburg lead by 64 rating points.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.559%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Augsburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.86X24%4.10222%4.61
Double chance
1X78%1.28X246%2.171276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.47BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: M'gladbach1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Augsburg – M'gladbach9 May 20263-1
M'gladbach – Augsburg11 January 20264-0
M'gladbach – Augsburg22 February 20250-3
Augsburg – M'gladbach4 October 20242-1
M'gladbach – Augsburg21 January 20241-2
Augsburg – M'gladbach19 August 20234-4