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Bundesliga · Matchday 16Tuesday 12 January · 19:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Paderborn14th place
FCU 47%X 29%SCP 24%

Prediction

  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.538%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X29%3.48224%4.09
Double chance
1X76%1.32X253%1.881271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.538%2.66Under 2.562%1.60BTTS yes44%2.30BTTS no56%1.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: Paderborn1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

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