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Bundesliga · Matchday 16Tuesday 12 January · 19:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Stuttgart11th place
RBL 56%X 23%VFB 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Stuttgart -0.1.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.3
Over 2.568%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X23%4.33221%4.81
Double chance
1X79%1.26X244%2.281277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.14BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Stuttgart2-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – RB Leipzig15 March 20261-0
RB Leipzig – Stuttgart1 November 20253-1
RB Leipzig – Stuttgart17 May 20252-3
Stuttgart – RB Leipzig15 January 20252-1
Stuttgart – RB Leipzig27 January 20245-2
RB Leipzig – Stuttgart25 August 20235-1