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Bundesliga · Matchday 34Saturday 22 May · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Hamburg15th place
FCA 52%X 26%HSV 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Augsburg lead by 61 rating points.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Hamburg score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Augsburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.94X26%3.92223%4.37
Double chance
1X77%1.30X248%2.071274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: Hamburg1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
HamburgWWWLL

Head to head

Hamburg – Augsburg4 April 20261-1
Augsburg – Hamburg22 November 20251-0