TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 34Saturday 22 May · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Hoffenheim12th place
RBL 58%X 23%TSG 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 85 rating points.
  • RB Leipzig take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Hoffenheim 0.4.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.3
Over 2.570%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X23%4.32219%5.34
Double chance
1X81%1.23X242%2.391277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.30BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Hoffenheim2-1 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim20 March 20265-0
Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig8 November 20253-1
RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim5 April 20253-1
Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig23 November 20244-3
Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig3 May 20241-1
RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim16 December 20233-1