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Bundesliga · Matchday 34Saturday 22 May · 14:30 · VELTINS-Arena
Schalke 0417th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Leverkusen6th place
S04 20%X 24%B04 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leverkusen lead by 171 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Leverkusen 1.8 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Leverkusen 0.1, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Leverkusen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.10X24%4.16256%1.77
Double chance
1X44%2.29X280%1.241276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Schalke 04 · Columns: Leverkusen1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Schalke 04 – Leverkusen1 April 20230-3
Leverkusen – Schalke 048 October 20224-0