TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 34Saturday 22 May · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Werder Bremen5th place
SVE 35%X 27%SVW 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Werder Bremen 2.2 points per game, Elversberg 1.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Werder Bremen -0.2, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.7
Over 2.565%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Werder Bremen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.89X27%3.73239%2.59
Double chance
1X61%1.63X265%1.531273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.84BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no34%2.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Werder Bremen1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →