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Bundesliga · Matchday 34Saturday 22 May · 14:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
M'gladbach18th place
FCU 46%X 27%BMG 27%

Prediction

  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Union Berlin win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X27%3.68227%3.69
Double chance
1X73%1.37X254%1.841273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: M'gladbach1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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Head to head

M'gladbach – Union Berlin28 February 20261-0
Union Berlin – M'gladbach17 October 20253-1
Union Berlin – M'gladbach15 February 20251-2
M'gladbach – Union Berlin28 September 20241-0
M'gladbach – Union Berlin28 April 20240-0
Union Berlin – M'gladbach9 December 20233-1