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Bundesliga · Matchday 34Saturday 22 May · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Paderborn14th place
KOE 53%X 26%SCP 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Köln -0.1, Paderborn -0.6.
  • If Köln score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X26%3.82221%4.71
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.111274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Paderborn1-0 probability 13.0%

Form

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KölnLWLDD