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Bundesliga · Matchday 12Saturday 5 December · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Köln13th place
FCA 47%X 26%KOE 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Augsburg lead by 70 rating points.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Augsburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X26%3.81226%3.78
Double chance
1X74%1.36X253%1.901274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Augsburg – Köln27 February 20262-0
Köln – Augsburg18 October 20251-1
Augsburg – Köln31 March 20241-1
Köln – Augsburg4 November 20231-1
Augsburg – Köln8 April 20231-3
Köln – Augsburg16 October 20223-2