TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 12Saturday 5 December · 14:30 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Paderborn14th place
FCB 88%X 9%SCP 3%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 328 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Paderborn -0.6.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 96% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 17% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals3.1 – 0.5
Over 2.569%
Both teams score37%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
188%1.14X9%10.9923%30.49
Double chance
1X97%1.03X212%8.081291%1.10
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.23BTTS yes37%2.71BTTS no63%1.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: Paderborn3-0 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →