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Bundesliga · Matchday 12Saturday 5 December · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Stuttgart11th place
SVE 25%X 24%VFB 52%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 114 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Stuttgart -0.1, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.6 – 2.3
Over 2.574%
Both teams score72%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.06X24%4.24252%1.93
Double chance
1X48%2.07X275%1.331276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.88BTTS yes72%1.39BTTS no28%3.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Stuttgart1-2 probability 8.6%

Form

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