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Bundesliga · Matchday 12Saturday 5 December · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Hoffenheim12th place
SCF 45%X 27%TSG 28%

Prediction

  • If Freiburg score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X27%3.71228%3.56
Double chance
1X72%1.39X255%1.821273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no35%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Hoffenheim1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Hoffenheim – Freiburg14 February 20263-0
Freiburg – Hoffenheim28 September 20251-1
Freiburg – Hoffenheim19 April 20253-2
Hoffenheim – Freiburg8 December 20241-1
Freiburg – Hoffenheim20 January 20243-2
Hoffenheim – Freiburg19 August 20231-2