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Bundesliga · Matchday 26Saturday 13 March · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
RB Leipzig4th place
FCA 26%X 24%RBL 50%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 108 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Augsburg -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: RB Leipzig 1.8 points per game, Augsburg 0.4.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.9
Over 2.563%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a RB Leipzig win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.89X24%4.10250%2.00
Double chance
1X50%2.00X274%1.351276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: RB Leipzig1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

RB Leipzig – Augsburg7 March 20262-1
Augsburg – RB Leipzig25 October 20250-6
Augsburg – RB Leipzig14 February 20250-0
RB Leipzig – Augsburg28 September 20244-0
Augsburg – RB Leipzig10 February 20242-2
RB Leipzig – Augsburg16 September 20233-0