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Bundesliga · Matchday 26Saturday 13 March · 14:30 · Weserstadion
Werder Bremen5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Stuttgart11th place
SVW 36%X 26%VFB 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 86 rating points.
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X26%3.86238%2.62
Double chance
1X62%1.62X264%1.561274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – Werder Bremen26 April 20261-1
Werder Bremen – Stuttgart14 December 20250-4
Stuttgart – Werder Bremen13 April 20251-2
Werder Bremen – Stuttgart30 November 20242-2
Werder Bremen – Stuttgart21 April 20242-1
Stuttgart – Werder Bremen2 December 20232-0