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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Göztepe9th place
İBFK 47%X 27%GÖZ 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X27%3.77227%3.76
Double chance
1X73%1.36X253%1.881273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.556%1.80Under 2.544%2.25BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

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Head to head

Başakşehir – Göztepe7 March 20262-1
Göztepe – Başakşehir5 October 20251-0
Göztepe – Başakşehir28 April 20254-1
Başakşehir – Göztepe30 November 20244-1
Başakşehir – Göztepe22 January 20221-2
Göztepe – Başakşehir12 September 20212-1