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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
TS 72%X 18%ALN 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 206 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.7
Over 2.557%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.38X18%5.47210%10.53
Double chance
1X91%1.10X228%3.601282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Alanyaspor2-0 probability 13.2%

Form

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Head to head

Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor11 April 20261-1
Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor8 November 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor27 April 20254-3
Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor30 November 20242-1
Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor4 March 20243-1
Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor23 October 20231-0