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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
GB 24%X 26%BJK 50%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 158 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.15X26%3.86250%2.00
Double chance
1X50%2.00X276%1.321274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Beşiktaş15 March 20260-2
Beşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği18 October 20251-2