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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Çorum FK7th place
FB 72%X 18%ÇOR 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 159 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Çorum FK -0.1.
  • Fenerbahçe take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.9 – 1.1
Over 2.576%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X18%5.57210%9.66
Double chance
1X90%1.12X228%3.531282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.576%1.32Under 2.524%4.16BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Çorum FK2-1 probability 8.6%

Form

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