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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Rizespor13th place
ERZ 35%X 29%RİZ 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Rizespor 0.1, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Rizespor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.89X29%3.42236%2.77
Double chance
1X64%1.57X265%1.531271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.25Under 2.555%1.80BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Rizespor1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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