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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Gaziantep FK16th place
KAS 56%X 26%GFK 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa lead by 108 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.6 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kasımpaşa 0.0, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.550%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X26%3.88219%5.37
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.251274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Gaziantep FK1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa9 February 20262-1
Kasımpaşa – Gaziantep FK30 August 20252-3
Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa24 May 20252-2
Kasımpaşa – Gaziantep FK5 January 20252-2
Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa21 April 20242-0
Kasımpaşa – Gaziantep FK3 December 20234-2