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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Konyaspor15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Samsunspor17th place
KON 49%X 27%SAM 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Konyaspor 1.0 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Konyaspor -0.2, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Konyaspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.06X27%3.66224%4.15
Double chance
1X76%1.32X251%1.951273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Konyaspor · Columns: Samsunspor1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Samsunspor – Konyaspor5 April 20262-2
Konyaspor – Samsunspor2 November 20251-3
Konyaspor – Samsunspor16 February 20250-1
Samsunspor – Konyaspor14 September 20240-1
Konyaspor – Samsunspor12 May 20243-0
Samsunspor – Konyaspor21 December 20231-1