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Süper Lig · Matchday 28Sunday 11 April · 13:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Eyüpspor18th place
KOC 61%X 25%EYP 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kocaelispor lead by 131 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Kocaelispor 1.4 points per game, Eyüpspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kocaelispor -0.1, Eyüpspor -1.5.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.6
Over 2.538%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X25%4.05214%6.97
Double chance
1X86%1.17X239%2.561275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.538%2.62Under 2.562%1.62BTTS yes38%2.66BTTS no62%1.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Eyüpspor1-0 probability 16.7%

Form

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Head to head

Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor9 March 20260-1
Kocaelispor – Eyüpspor4 October 20251-0