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Bundesliga · Matchday 19Saturday 30 January · 14:30 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
FCB 89%X 8%S04 3%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 370 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • Last 5 games: Bayern Munich 2.2 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 97% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 15% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals3.1 – 0.4
Over 2.568%
Both teams score31%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
189%1.12X8%12.6123%38.17
Double chance
1X97%1.03X211%9.481292%1.09
Goals
Over 2.568%1.48Under 2.532%3.09BTTS yes31%3.23BTTS no69%1.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: Schalke 043-0 probability 15.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Schalke 04 – Bayern Munich5 September 20260-0
Bayern Munich – Schalke 0413 May 20236-0
Schalke 04 – Bayern Munich12 November 20220-2