TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 19Saturday 30 January · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Stuttgart11th place
KOE 31%X 25%VFB 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 164 rating points.
  • If Köln score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.19X25%3.93243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.76X269%1.461275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.64BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Stuttgart – Köln4 September 20264-1
Stuttgart – Köln14 February 20263-1
Köln – Stuttgart28 September 20251-2
Stuttgart – Köln24 February 20241-1
Köln – Stuttgart30 September 20230-2
Stuttgart – Köln18 February 20233-0