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Bundesliga · Matchday 19Saturday 30 January · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Paderborn14th place
SCF 62%X 23%SCP 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Freiburg lead by 110 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Freiburg 0.3, Paderborn -0.6.
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.545%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X23%4.27215%6.87
Double chance
1X85%1.17X238%2.631277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes43%2.33BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Paderborn1-0 probability 14.1%

Form

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Head to head

Paderborn – Freiburg5 September 20260-1