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Championship · Matchday 39Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
BIR 59%X 24%BLB 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Birmingham City 0.3, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • Birmingham City lead by 72 rating points.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.545%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.68X24%4.13216%6.14
Double chance
1X84%1.19X241%2.471276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-0 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Birmingham City – Blackburn Rovers3 April 20260-1
Blackburn Rovers – Birmingham City16 August 20251-2
Birmingham City – Blackburn Rovers13 February 20241-0
Blackburn Rovers – Birmingham City29 November 20234-2
Birmingham City – Blackburn Rovers1 April 20231-0
Blackburn Rovers – Birmingham City22 October 20222-1